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Strategies / Mean reversion / Rate of Change Band Reversion

Rate of Change Band Reversion

The strategy buys when the 2-bar rate of change crosses above a lower band set below its 18-bar average. It sells when the rate of change crosses below an upper band set above its 21-bar average.

Mean reversionLong onlySwingDow JonesDaily
2.76Profit factor
46,975Net profit EUR
67.72%Win rate
189Trades
-7,927Max drawdown
249Avg trade

Best run of 19. Dow Jones, Daily, spread 3, from run pf:2026-10-12-DOW30-D.tsv:6.

Entry rules, long

Exit rules

  1. The 2-bar rate of change crosses below its upper band, the 21-bar SMA plus 2.1 standard deviations.

Test conditions

PeriodUp to 2026-10-12
InstrumentDow Jones, Daily
Spread3 points
Starting capital1,000,000
CostsSpread only. Commissions and overnight financing are not included.
BarsUp to 200,000 bars, fewer where the instrument has less history
Last tested2026-10-12

Every run

Markets and timeframes tested

MarketTimeframePFTradesWin %NetMax DD
Dow JonesBest runDaily2.76 18967.7246,975 EUR-7,927
Nasdaq 100Daily2.75 13965.4725,929 EUR-5,520
S&P 500Daily2.67 20365.027,112 EUR-1,238
S&P 5004 hours1.62 50566.145,620 EUR-1,159
USD/JPY4 hoursn/a 52058.65458,850 USD-329,520
Nikkei 2254 hoursn/a 35861.7336,869 USD-12,604
Nikkei 225Dailyn/a 17461.4936,084 USD-26,090
Nasdaq 1004 hoursn/a 52463.5521,430 EUR-5,559
Dow Jones30 minn/a 1,62061.1719,741 EUR-8,097
Dow Jones4 hoursn/a 17563.4316,909 EUR-9,925
Nikkei 2251 hourn/a 1,46158.7315,235 USD-12,561
Dow Jones1 hourn/a 75360.0314,577 EUR-10,653
DAX 404 hoursn/a 44362.9812,416 EUR-4,741
Dow Jones15 minn/a 2,83960.4812,288 EUR-8,587
FTSE 100Dailyn/a 14863.519,538 EUR-2,806
DAX 40Dailyn/a 19355.448,612 EUR-5,503
Brent Crude4 hoursn/a 26559.258,008 EUR-6,042
FTSE 1004 hoursn/a 44362.985,681 EUR-2,176
GoldDailyn/a 18860.112,581 EUR-1,303

Charts

Results by run

Top 10 of 19 runs. The full list is in the table above.

Above 1.0 made money, below 1.0 lost money.

The code

ProBuilder code, as tested

// ==============================================================
// Rate of Change Band Reversion
// ProRealAlgos Strategy Library  |  prorealalgos.com
// Type: Mean reversion
// Direction: Long only
// Timeframe tested: Daily
// ==============================================================

DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = false

myRoc = (close - close[2]) / close[2] * 100
lower = Average[18](myRoc) - 1.7 * STD[18](myRoc)
upper = Average[21](myRoc) + 2.1 * STD[21](myRoc)

9 more lines: the entry and exit rules.

Setup

How to load it

  1. Copy the code with the copy button on the code block.
  2. In ProRealTime, open a chart of the instrument and timeframe you want to test, then open ProOrder > New trading system and choose "Create with programming".
  3. Paste the code, give the system a name and save it.
  4. Click "Backtest", set your own spread and position size, and run it before you consider trading it live.

Indicators used

MomentumSMAStandard Deviation
Longer historyRe-run on up to 1,000,000 barsNasdaq 100 · Daily · older data 0.00 EUR

Nasdaq 100 had no history beyond the standard run, so both runs used 10,000 bars.

Nasdaq 100 · Daily

Bars available10,000
Net, standard 200,000-bar run25,928.70 EUR
Net, long run25,928.70 EUR
Net on the older data alone0.00 EUR
Read this firstKnown weaknesses2 points
  • The code sets no stop loss, so a losing trade stays open until an exit signal arrives.
  • Results include the spread only. Commissions and overnight financing are not included.

Questions

About this strategy

Can I run Rate of Change Band Reversion in ProOrder?

Yes. The code is ProBuilder and runs as an automated ProOrder system. Backtest it on your own account with your own spread and position size before trading it live.

Which markets was it tested on?

It was tested on 19 market and timeframe combinations. The best run was Dow Jones, Daily, with a profit factor of 2.76 over 189 trades.

How large was the drawdown?

The best run had a maximum drawdown of 7,926 EUR at the tested position size, against a net result of 46,975 EUR.

Does it trade long, short or both?

It only takes long trades.

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See how ProRealAlgos combines strategies like this into one automated portfolio.

Copy trading on US indices is available to ProRealAlgos members as spots open.

Past backtest results do not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Curated and maintained by ProRealAlgos. ProRealTime™ is a trademark of ProRealTime SAS. prorealalgos.comStatsDocs