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Strategies / Pattern / Winter Season Long

Winter Season Long

The strategy holds a long position when the calendar month is 11 or later, or 4 or earlier, and sells to close it in the other months. Entries and exits depend only on the calendar, not on price.

PatternLong onlySwingSilverDaily
2.95Profit factor
36,140Net profit USD
51.11%Win rate
45Trades
-10,367Max drawdown
803Avg trade

Best run of 4. Silver, Daily, spread 4, from run pf:2026-10-10-SILVER-D.tsv:4.

Entry rules, long

Exit rules

  1. Sell to close the long when the calendar month is between 5 and 10 inclusive.

Test conditions

PeriodUp to 2026-10-10
InstrumentSilver, Daily
Spread4 points
Starting capital1,000,000
CostsSpread only. Commissions and overnight financing are not included.
BarsUp to 200,000 bars, fewer where the instrument has less history
Last tested2026-10-11

Every run

Markets and timeframes tested

MarketTimeframePFTradesWin %NetMax DD
SilverBest runDaily2.95 4551.1136,140 USD-10,367
GoldDaily2.45 5261.5419,958 EUR-15,516
Brent CrudeDaily2.29 1952.6317,913 EUR-8,081
US Crude OilDaily1.60 4452.2720,339 EUR-11,942

Charts

Results by run

Above 1.0 made money, below 1.0 lost money.

The code

ProBuilder code, as tested

// ==============================================================
// Winter Season Long
// ProRealAlgos Strategy Library  |  prorealalgos.com
// Type: Pattern
// Direction: Long only
// Timeframe tested: Daily
// ==============================================================

DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = false
ONCE capital = 10000

16 more lines: the entry and exit rules.

Setup

How to load it

  1. Copy the code with the copy button on the code block.
  2. In ProRealTime, open a chart of the instrument and timeframe you want to test, then open ProOrder > New trading system and choose "Create with programming".
  3. Paste the code, give the system a name and save it.
  4. Click "Backtest", set your own spread and position size, and run it before you consider trading it live.
Read this firstKnown weaknesses2 points
  • The best run has only 45 trades, which is a small sample to judge it on.
  • The code sets no stop loss, so a losing trade stays open until an exit signal arrives.

Questions

About this strategy

Can I run Winter Season Long in ProOrder?

Yes. The code is ProBuilder and runs as an automated ProOrder system. Backtest it on your own account with your own spread and position size before trading it live.

Which markets was it tested on?

It was tested on 4 market and timeframe combinations. The best run was Silver, Daily, with a profit factor of 2.95 over 45 trades.

How large was the drawdown?

The best run had a maximum drawdown of 10,367 USD at the tested position size, against a net result of 36,140 USD.

Does it trade long, short or both?

It only takes long trades.

Related

Strategies like this one

SMA Crossover With RSI Exit

Best run on the same market, Silver.

2.13 PF · 8,999 trades

Winter Season Long Short

Also a pattern strategy.

2.95 PF · 45 trades

See how ProRealAlgos combines strategies like this into one automated portfolio.

The ProRealAlgos community gets the full rules, the complete code and the automated portfolio.

Past backtest results do not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Curated and maintained by ProRealAlgos. ProRealTime™ is a trademark of ProRealTime SAS. prorealalgos.comStatsDocs