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Strategies / Mean reversion / Two-Period RSI

Two-Period RSI: Extreme Readings in the Trend Direction

Above the 200 SMA, an RSI(2) reading under 5 triggers a long; below it, a reading over 95 triggers a short. Longs close on a close above the 5 SMA and shorts on a close below it. There is no stop loss.

Mean reversionLong & shortIntradayUSD/JPY30 min
n/aProfit factor
194,020Net profit JPY
64.80%Win rate
4,574Trades
-71,680Max drawdown
42.42Avg trade

Best run of 13. USD/JPY, 30 min, spread 1, from run sweeps:2026-09-22-USDJPY-30m-opt.tsv:4.

Entry rules, long

  1. Price is above the 200-period SMA

Entry rules, short

  1. Price is below the 200-period SMA

Exit rules

  1. Close a short when price closes below the 5-period SMA
  2. No stop loss

Test conditions

PeriodUp to 2026-09-22
InstrumentUSD/JPY, 30 minutes
Spread1 points
Contracts1
Starting capital1,000,000
CostsSpread only. Commissions and overnight financing are not included.
BarsUp to 200,000 bars, fewer where the instrument has less history
Last tested2026-09-22
Parameters (6)
positionSize
Contracts per trade
1
trendPeriod
Trend SMA length
200
exitPeriod
Exit SMA length
5
rsiPeriod
RSI length
2
oversoldLevel
Buy below this RSI level
5
overboughtLevel
Sell short above this RSI level
95

Every run

Markets and timeframes tested

MarketTimeframePFTradesWin %NetMax DD
USD/JPYBest run30 minn/a 4,57464.80194,020 JPY-71,680
USD/JPY1 hourn/a 3,24463.04268,370 JPY-99,400
EUR/USD4 hoursn/a 1,10364.8241,210 USD-12,790
Nikkei 225Dailyn/a 24664.6315,305 USD-9,920
Dow JonesDailyn/a 35764.1512,735 EUR-3,577
EUR/USD30 minn/a 4,38563.5110,629 USD-7,378
DAX 40Dailyn/a 36564.116,907 EUR-1,937
GBP/USDDailyn/a 33367.575,844 USD-3,495
Nasdaq 100Dailyn/a 24861.695,094 EUR-2,456
US Crude OilDailyn/a 26162.844,788 EUR-2,833
Brent Crude4 hoursn/a 41865.313,135 EUR-1,486
FTSE 100Dailyn/a 25164.141,934 EUR-1,199
S&P 500Dailyn/a 37862.961,863 EUR-547

Charts

Results by run

Top 10 of 13 runs. The full list is in the table above.

Net profitMax drawdown

The code

ProBuilder, rewritten to house standard

// ============================================================
// Two-Period RSI
// ProRealAlgos Strategy Library  |  prorealalgos.com
// Type: Mean reversion
// Direction: Long & short
// Timeframe tested: 30 minutes
// ============================================================

// --- Settings ---
DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = false

// --- Parameters ---
positionSize = 1       // contracts per trade
trendPeriod = 200      // long-term trend filter
exitPeriod = 5         // short SMA used for the exit
rsiPeriod = 2          // RSI length
oversoldLevel = 5      // buy below this in an uptrend
overboughtLevel = 95   // sell short above this in a downtrend

// --- Indicators ---
trendMA = Average[trendPeriod](close)
exitMA = Average[exitPeriod](close)
rsiValue = RSI[rsiPeriod](close)

26 more lines: the entry and exit rules.

Setup

How to load it

  1. Copy the code with the copy button on the code block.
  2. In ProRealTime, open a chart of the instrument and timeframe you want to test, then open ProOrder > New trading system and choose "Create with programming".
  3. Paste the code, give the system a name and save it.
  4. Click "Backtest", set your own spread and position size, and run it before you consider trading it live.

Indicators used

RSISMA
Read this firstKnown weaknesses4 points
  • No stop loss, so a trade against a strong move stays open until price closes back through the 5 SMA.
  • The best run's max drawdown was JPY 71,680.0 against JPY 194,020.0 profit.
  • Profit factor was not recorded because only sweep data exists.
  • Index results are small next to forex, for example EUR 1,863.15 on S&P 500 Daily.

Questions

About this strategy

Can Two-Period RSI run in ProOrder?

Yes, it uses simple averages and RSI with market orders. The rewritten code is not compile-checked yet.

How did it do across markets?

USD/JPY 1 hour made JPY 268,370.0 and EUR/USD 4 hours USD 41,210.0. Dow Jones Daily made EUR 12,734.8 and FTSE 100 Daily EUR 1,934.4.

What capital does 1 contract need?

The best run had a JPY 71,680.0 drawdown with 1 contract on USD/JPY. On Dow Jones Daily it was EUR 3,577.4.

Why 30 minute bars on USD/JPY?

RSI(2) reaches extremes often on 30 minutes, giving 4,574 trades, enough to read the result.

Related

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Supertrend Counter Trend

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Monday Dip Buy

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Past backtest results do not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Curated and maintained by ProRealAlgos. ProRealTime™ is a trademark of ProRealTime SAS. prorealalgos.comStatsDocs