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Strategies / Mean reversion / Lower Band Dip Buyer

Lower Band Dip Buyer

Buys when the close is below the 50-bar EMA and below 0.985 times the lower 20-bar Bollinger band of typical price, with volume under 20 times its 30-bar average. Exits when the close is above the middle band, with a 1% target and 5% stop.

Mean reversionLong onlyIntradayUS Crude Oil15 min
n/aProfit factor
1,443Net profit EUR
83.33%Win rate
96Trades
-810Max drawdown
15.04Avg trade

Best run of 42. US Crude Oil, 15 min, spread 3, from run sweeps:2026-10-04-CRUDE-15m-opt.tsv:9.

Entry rules, long

  1. The close is below the 50-bar EMA.
  2. Volume is below 20 times the prior bar's 30-bar average volume.

Exit rules

  1. A 1% profit target closes the trade.
  2. A 5% stop loss closes the trade.

Test conditions

PeriodUp to 2026-10-04
InstrumentUS Crude Oil, 15 minutes
Spread3 points
Starting capital1,000,000
CostsSpread only. Commissions and overnight financing are not included.
BarsUp to 200,000 bars, fewer where the instrument has less history
Last tested2026-10-04

Every run

Markets and timeframes tested

MarketTimeframePFTradesWin %NetMax DD
US Crude OilBest run15 minn/a 9683.331,443 EUR-810
USD/JPY1 hourn/a 6100.0059,360 USD-7,690
Nikkei 2254 hoursn/a 2290.914,106 USD-2,076
Silver2 minn/a 1687.503,890 USD-1,986
Silver3 minn/a 1687.503,857 USD-2,009
Silver10 minn/a 2986.213,237 USD-2,840
Nikkei 225Dailyn/a 2386.962,878 USD-1,809
Nikkei 2251 hourn/a 1586.672,460 USD-1,823
Dow JonesDailyn/a 1291.672,353 EUR-1,909
DAX 404 hoursn/a 16100.002,328 EUR-266
DAX 40Dailyn/a 2692.312,204 EUR-914
Dow Jones1 hourn/a 9100.002,153 EUR-84.50
Nikkei 22515 minn/a 6100.001,761 USD-746
Nasdaq 100Dailyn/a 2692.311,551 EUR-989
Nikkei 22530 minn/a 785.711,504 USD-1,039
Nikkei 22510 minn/a 5100.001,455 USD-1,023
Brent Crude15 minn/a 5981.361,376 EUR-755
Dow Jones15 minn/a 5100.001,206 EUR-255
EUR/USD1 hourn/a 1100.001,104 USD-865
FTSE 100Dailyn/a 2195.24996 EUR-521
Nasdaq 1001 hourn/a 1978.95936 EUR-594
DAX 4015 minn/a 887.50649 EUR-254
Nasdaq 10015 minn/a 977.78559 EUR-467
Nikkei 2253 minn/a 366.67489 USD-291
Nasdaq 10010 minn/a 4100.00396 EUR-191
GBP/USD1 hourn/a 3100.00395 USD-201
DAX 403 minn/a 2100.00389 EUR-0.00
Dow Jones3 minn/a 1100.00366 EUR-0.00
FTSE 10015 minn/a 6100.00350 EUR-80.10
Nasdaq 1003 minn/a 2100.00329 EUR-0.00
Dow Jones10 minn/a 1100.00315 EUR-295
Gold30 minn/a 8100.00291 EUR-37.70
FTSE 10030 minn/a 683.33227 EUR-142
Gold15 minn/a 6100.00221 EUR-26.00
GBP/USD10 minn/a 1100.00104 USD-0.00
GBP/USD15 minn/a 1100.00104 USD-0.00
Gold2 minn/a 2100.0098.60 EUR-0.00
S&P 5003 minn/a 2100.0096.21 EUR-0.00
Gold3 minn/a 2100.0093.40 EUR-0.00
FTSE 10010 minn/a 1100.0077.50 EUR-67.90
S&P 50015 minn/a 2100.0070.46 EUR-35.63
Gold5 minn/a 1100.0052.00 EUR-0.00

Charts

Results by run

Top 10 of 42 runs. The full list is in the table above.

Net profitMax drawdown

The code

ProBuilder code, as tested

// ==============================================================
// Lower Band Dip Buyer
// ProRealAlgos Strategy Library  |  prorealalgos.com
// Type: Mean reversion
// Direction: Long only
// Timeframe tested: 15 minutes
// ==============================================================

DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = false

tp = TypicalPrice
mid = Average[20](tp)
sd = STD[20](tp) * SQRT(20 / 19)
lower = mid - 2 * sd
ema = ExponentialAverage[50](close)
volavg = Average[30](volume)

11 more lines: the entry and exit rules.

Setup

How to load it

  1. Copy the code with the copy button on the code block.
  2. In ProRealTime, open a chart of the instrument and timeframe you want to test, then open ProOrder > New trading system and choose "Create with programming".
  3. Paste the code, give the system a name and save it.
  4. Click "Backtest", set your own spread and position size, and run it before you consider trading it live.

Indicators used

Bollinger BandsEMASMAVolume
Read this firstKnown weaknesses3 points
  • No profit factor is available, because only sweep results exist for this strategy.
  • The best run has only 96 trades, which is a small sample to judge it on.
  • The maximum drawdown of 810 EUR is large next to the net profit of 1,443 EUR.

Questions

About this strategy

Can I run Lower Band Dip Buyer in ProOrder?

Yes. The code is ProBuilder and runs as an automated ProOrder system. Backtest it on your own account with your own spread and position size before trading it live.

Which markets was it tested on?

It was tested on 42 market and timeframe combinations. The best run by trade count was US Crude Oil, 15 minutes, with 96 trades.

How large was the drawdown?

The best run had a maximum drawdown of 810 EUR at the tested position size, against a net result of 1,443 EUR.

Does it trade long, short or both?

It only takes long trades.

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Past backtest results do not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Curated and maintained by ProRealAlgos. ProRealTime™ is a trademark of ProRealTime SAS. prorealalgos.comStatsDocs